Cam Schlittler holds the top spot in the 2026 AL Cy Young market at 62.4% implied probability due to his league-leading 2.21 ERA, elite 0.93 WHIP, 4.8 bWAR pace, and consistent dominance over 146-plus innings for the Yankees. The right-hander has allowed three or more earned runs just twice while posting the AL's best opponent batting average. Dylan Cease sits second at 29.6% behind his strikeout leadership, sub-.200 opponent average, and strong post-hamstring return form with the Blue Jays. Recent outings, including Schlittler's 11-strikeout gem, have reinforced the gap, though Cease's high K-rate keeps the race competitive heading into the stretch. Lower-tier candidates like Drew Rasmussen trail significantly on volume and rate stats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 62.3%
Dylan Cease 29.6%
Drew Rasmussen 3.4%
Sonny Gray <1%
$1,262,032 Vol.
$1,262,032 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
30%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
62%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
3%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
1%
Cam Schlittler 62.3%
Dylan Cease 29.6%
Drew Rasmussen 3.4%
Sonny Gray <1%
$1,262,032 Vol.
$1,262,032 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
30%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
62%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
3%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cam Schlittler holds the top spot in the 2026 AL Cy Young market at 62.4% implied probability due to his league-leading 2.21 ERA, elite 0.93 WHIP, 4.8 bWAR pace, and consistent dominance over 146-plus innings for the Yankees. The right-hander has allowed three or more earned runs just twice while posting the AL's best opponent batting average. Dylan Cease sits second at 29.6% behind his strikeout leadership, sub-.200 opponent average, and strong post-hamstring return form with the Blue Jays. Recent outings, including Schlittler's 11-strikeout gem, have reinforced the gap, though Cease's high K-rate keeps the race competitive heading into the stretch. Lower-tier candidates like Drew Rasmussen trail significantly on volume and rate stats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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