The elbow surgery that sidelined defending AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal for at least two months has reshaped the early 2026 race, elevating New York Yankees starter Cam Schlittler to the top of trader consensus with his league-leading 1.35 ERA, five wins, and elite 0.81 WHIP across 60 innings. Dylan Cease sits just behind, anchored by a high strikeout rate and strong FIP that reflect his ability to miss bats consistently for the Blue Jays. Jacob deGrom’s resurgent velocity and command have kept him in the mix at third, while a deep group including Parker Messick, Jose Soriano, and Bryan Woo posts competitive underlying metrics that prevent any single pitcher from pulling away decisively in this still-developing season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 24.4%
Dylan Cease 21.8%
Jacob deGrom 15.0%
Parker Messick 9.4%
$35,355 Vol.
$35,355 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
1%
Garrett Crochet
1%
Jacob deGrom
15%
Cole Ragans
1%
Hunter Brown
1%
Max Fried
2%
Bryan Woo
4%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
1%
Joe Ryan
1%
Ranger Suarez
1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
22%
George Kirby
1%
Carlos Rodón
1%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
4%
Pablo Lopez
1%
Gavin Williams
1%
Bryce Miller
1%
Cam Schlittler
24%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
9%
Cam Schlittler 24.4%
Dylan Cease 21.8%
Jacob deGrom 15.0%
Parker Messick 9.4%
$35,355 Vol.
$35,355 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
1%
Garrett Crochet
1%
Jacob deGrom
15%
Cole Ragans
1%
Hunter Brown
1%
Max Fried
2%
Bryan Woo
4%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
1%
Joe Ryan
1%
Ranger Suarez
1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
22%
George Kirby
1%
Carlos Rodón
1%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
4%
Pablo Lopez
1%
Gavin Williams
1%
Bryce Miller
1%
Cam Schlittler
24%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
9%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The elbow surgery that sidelined defending AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal for at least two months has reshaped the early 2026 race, elevating New York Yankees starter Cam Schlittler to the top of trader consensus with his league-leading 1.35 ERA, five wins, and elite 0.81 WHIP across 60 innings. Dylan Cease sits just behind, anchored by a high strikeout rate and strong FIP that reflect his ability to miss bats consistently for the Blue Jays. Jacob deGrom’s resurgent velocity and command have kept him in the mix at third, while a deep group including Parker Messick, Jose Soriano, and Bryan Woo posts competitive underlying metrics that prevent any single pitcher from pulling away decisively in this still-developing season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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