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Sports·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 39%

Munetaka Murakami 39%

Chase DeLauter 11%

Kazuma Okamoto 8.9%

Polymarket

$11,636 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 39%

Munetaka Murakami 39%

Chase DeLauter 11%

Kazuma Okamoto 8.9%

Polymarket

$11,636 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$2,682 Vol.

39%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,282 Vol.

39%

Chase DeLauter

$646 Vol.

11%

Kazuma Okamoto

$748 Vol.

9%

Samuel Basallo

$716 Vol.

2%

Spencer Jones

$218 Vol.

1%

Carter Jensen

$575 Vol.

1%

Leo De Vries

$248 Vol.

1%

Dylan Beavers

$604 Vol.

1%

Carlos Lagrange

$213 Vol.

1%

Brice Matthews

$198 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$198 Vol.

1%

Colt Emerson

$204 Vol.

1%

Walker Jenkins

$489 Vol.

1%

Carson Williams

$205 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$379 Vol.

1%

Travis Bazzana

$198 Vol.

1%

Max Clark

$212 Vol.

1%

Payton Tolle

$265 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$356 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the AL Rookie of the Year market reflects an evenly split 38.5% implied probability for Detroit Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle and Chicago White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami, underscoring a tight race driven by contrasting skill sets through the first 40 games. McGonigle paces AL rookies with a .293 batting average, .400 OBP, seven steals, and .833 OPS, bolstered by a recent MLB executives poll naming him the most impressive rookie. Murakami counters with explosive power, leading MLB with 15 home runs and 29 RBIs despite a .228 average, surging to top the latest AL ROY poll four days ago. Cleveland Guardians outfielder Chase DeLauter's .294 average and .879 OPS trails at 10.5%, with voter preferences for contact, speed, or slugging keeping the field competitive amid early-season volatility.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,636
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the AL Rookie of the Year market reflects an evenly split 38.5% implied probability for Detroit Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle and Chicago White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami, underscoring a tight race driven by contrasting skill sets through the first 40 games. McGonigle paces AL rookies with a .293 batting average, .400 OBP, seven steals, and .833 OPS, bolstered by a recent MLB executives poll naming him the most impressive rookie. Murakami counters with explosive power, leading MLB with 15 home runs and 29 RBIs despite a .228 average, surging to top the latest AL ROY poll four days ago. Cleveland Guardians outfielder Chase DeLauter's .294 average and .879 OPS trails at 10.5%, with voter preferences for contact, speed, or slugging keeping the field competitive amid early-season volatility.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,636
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 39%, followed by "Munetaka Murakami" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" has generated $11.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Kevin McGonigle" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.