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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Josh Allen 13%

Justin Herbert 11%

Lamar Jackson 11%

Caleb Williams 9.4%

Polymarket

$392,439 Vol.

Josh Allen 13%

Justin Herbert 11%

Lamar Jackson 11%

Caleb Williams 9.4%

Polymarket

$392,439 Vol.

Josh Allen

$5,044 Vol.

13%

Justin Herbert

$43,250 Vol.

11%

Lamar Jackson

$22,499 Vol.

11%

Caleb Williams

$8,363 Vol.

9%

Joe Burrow

$10,081 Vol.

9%

Drake Maye

$7,706 Vol.

9%

Dak Prescott

$6,801 Vol.

8%

Patrick Mahomes

$1,795 Vol.

7%

Matthew Stafford

$3,524 Vol.

6%

Brock Purdy

$4,439 Vol.

5%

Jordan Love

$2,864 Vol.

4%

Jalen Hurts

$6,765 Vol.

3%

Bo Nix

$3,719 Vol.

2%

Trevor Lawrence

$2,367 Vol.

2%

Sam Darnold

$5,321 Vol.

2%

Baker Mayfield

$101,105 Vol.

2%

Jared Goff

$2,355 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Dart

$5,582 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$4,661 Vol.

1%

Christian McCaffrey

$5,424 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$3,784 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$119,286 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$674 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$5,361 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$2,156 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$929 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$2,350 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$933 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$3,302 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen holds the narrowest lead in the 2026 NFL MVP market at 12.5% implied probability, reflecting his track record of high-volume production and the Bills' consistent contention window. The tight clustering behind him stems from Lamar Jackson's dual-threat impact, Justin Herbert's arm talent in a pass-friendly system, and rising expectations for Caleb Williams and Drake Maye amid strong supporting casts. Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott factor in due to proven efficiency when healthy, while Patrick Mahomes sits lower amid ongoing recovery from a prior knee injury. Training camp reports highlight stable quarterback rooms and limited major injuries among frontrunners, keeping the field wide open as teams finalize rotations ahead of the regular season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$392,439
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen holds the narrowest lead in the 2026 NFL MVP market at 12.5% implied probability, reflecting his track record of high-volume production and the Bills' consistent contention window. The tight clustering behind him stems from Lamar Jackson's dual-threat impact, Justin Herbert's arm talent in a pass-friendly system, and rising expectations for Caleb Williams and Drake Maye amid strong supporting casts. Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott factor in due to proven efficiency when healthy, while Patrick Mahomes sits lower amid ongoing recovery from a prior knee injury. Training camp reports highlight stable quarterback rooms and limited major injuries among frontrunners, keeping the field wide open as teams finalize rotations ahead of the regular season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$392,439
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Allen" at 13%, followed by "Justin Herbert" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $392.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Josh Allen" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.