Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen anchors the market's 56.5% implied probability for the 2026 AFC East title, supported by the team's established roster continuity and recent 12-5 finish. New England Patriots sit at 35% after their 14-3 2025 campaign under Drake Maye and Mike Vrabel, though a tougher schedule and defensive adjustments create uncertainty. The New York Jets at 8% and Miami Dolphins at 1.7% reflect ongoing rebuilds following 3-14 and 7-10 seasons, with limited near-term contention signals in early offseason evaluations. Trader positioning tracks these divisional dynamics closely, including post-draft roster moves and strength-of-schedule implications.