Jacksonville Jaguars hold a 2-1 record and lead the AFC South after three weeks, driving their 54% implied probability as division favorites according to trader consensus. Their plus-46 point differential and dominant 35-6 victory over the Patriots highlight superior early form compared to division rivals. Houston Texans sit at 0-3 with offensive struggles and key injuries including Nico Collins, aligning with their 21.5% odds. Indianapolis Colts improved to 1-2 via a late field goal win over the Texans but trail with defensive vulnerabilities, reflected in 20% pricing. Tennessee Titans remain winless at 0-3 with the lowest offensive output, supporting their 3.1% share amid a challenging start to the 2026 campaign.