Recent polls conducted in the final week before the October 5 Quebec general election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 30 percent, while the Parti Libéral du Québec holds second place at 22-26 percent. Support for the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has dropped sharply to 16-19 percent amid voter fatigue and regional shifts, placing it behind or level with the Conservative Party of Québec in several surveys. This late-campaign movement has solidified the Liberals' position as the clearest contender for official opposition status in the National Assembly, with traders pricing in an overwhelming consensus around the PLQ outcome. Other parties trail further in aggregated projections, limiting their prospects for second place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved







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