Recent polls show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead near 30 percent ahead of the October 5 election, with the Parti Libéral du Québec holding second place around 23-26 percent. The Coalition Avenir Québec has dropped sharply to 16-19 percent in the final week, hurt by campaign setbacks and weak francophone support, opening space for the Parti Conservateur du Québec at 17-18 percent. The PCQ’s strength in the Quebec City region and modest gains after the leaders’ debates position it as the leading contender for third in popular vote or seat projections among aggregators. Québec Solidaire trails further back, while smaller parties register minimal support. Trader consensus reflects these late-campaign shifts and the CAQ’s accelerated decline.