The SAVE Act and related versions like the SAVE America Act have passed the House multiple times since 2025 but remain stalled in the Senate, where the filibuster requires 60 votes for cloture on most legislation. Recent House action attached elements to the NDAA and other measures in 2026, while Senate Republicans have explored budget reconciliation to bypass the supermajority threshold without success so far. Trader consensus on low probabilities reflects the absence of bipartisan support, limited progress on proof-of-citizenship mandates, and competing priorities ahead of the 2026 midterms. Any shift would likely depend on Senate vote counts, procedural maneuvers, or a continuing resolution incorporating election provisions before year-end deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$537,066 Vol.
December 31
14%
$537,066 Vol.
December 31
14%
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act and related versions like the SAVE America Act have passed the House multiple times since 2025 but remain stalled in the Senate, where the filibuster requires 60 votes for cloture on most legislation. Recent House action attached elements to the NDAA and other measures in 2026, while Senate Republicans have explored budget reconciliation to bypass the supermajority threshold without success so far. Trader consensus on low probabilities reflects the absence of bipartisan support, limited progress on proof-of-citizenship mandates, and competing priorities ahead of the 2026 midterms. Any shift would likely depend on Senate vote counts, procedural maneuvers, or a continuing resolution incorporating election provisions before year-end deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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