Recent polling shows the Student List, formed by the Students in Blockade movement from 2024–2025 anti-corruption protests, receiving between 37% and 45% among decided voters, placing it in a close contest with the ruling United Serbia list led by Aleksandar Vučić. The September Faktor Plus survey recorded the Student List at 37.1% after a 5.6-point gain, while earlier Crta and BIRODI analyses placed it near or above 44–48%, reflecting strong consolidation of opposition support and higher projected turnout among younger and previously abstaining voters. With the October 25 parliamentary election approaching, traders price the outcome near 40% due to ongoing volatility in undecided voters, the performance of smaller lists like the Socialist Party of Serbia, and procedural factors such as the three-percent electoral threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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