The confirmed results of Serbia’s October 25 snap parliamentary election place the Aleksandar Vučić–United Serbia list at approximately 38.98–39.2 percent of the vote, aligning with the market’s near-certain 35–40 percent bracket. Record turnout above 68 percent, mobilization by the opposition Student List, and consolidation of anti-incumbent voters across urban and diaspora polling stations produced the outcome. United Serbia retained most of its core base but could not offset the broader shift that delivered the Student List an outright majority of seats. Remaining uncertainty centers on any final administrative adjustments or challenges to isolated polling stations already subject to repeats, though these are unlikely to move the national share outside the prevailing range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1H6H1D7D30DALL
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