The closely contested probabilities for Serbia’s October 25 parliamentary election turnout reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a polarized environment marked by prolonged protests and a competitive student-backed opposition list challenging the ruling SNS. Historical turnout has hovered near 58 percent in recent national votes, but analysts expect an increase driven by heightened engagement among younger voters and previous non-participants. Both the governing coalition and opposition are actively working to boost participation, yet the precise scale of any surge remains unclear, leaving the 58–66 percent range as the focal point of trader assessments. Scheduled campaign events and final-week developments could still shift the outcome within the resolution window.