Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Elections·South Carolina Midterm

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

icon for South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Elections·South Carolina Midterm

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

Polymarket

$17,292 Vol.

Polymarket

$17,292 Vol.

icon for Alan Wilson (R)

Alan Wilson (R)

$10,047 Vol.

94%

icon for Jermaine Johnson (D)

Jermaine Johnson (D)

$7,245 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alan Wilson secured the Republican nomination for South Carolina governor after a decisive June 2026 runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support in a state that has not elected a Democratic governor since 1998. This outcome, combined with longstanding Republican control of the office and favorable structural factors such as voter registration and turnout patterns, underpins trader consensus pricing Wilson above 90 percent. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, has focused his campaign on affordability, infrastructure, and education, yet faces an entrenched partisan environment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic mobilization ahead of the November 3 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,292
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alan Wilson secured the Republican nomination for South Carolina governor after a decisive June 2026 runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support in a state that has not elected a Democratic governor since 1998. This outcome, combined with longstanding Republican control of the office and favorable structural factors such as voter registration and turnout patterns, underpins trader consensus pricing Wilson above 90 percent. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, has focused his campaign on affordability, infrastructure, and education, yet faces an entrenched partisan environment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or unusually high Democratic mobilization ahead of the November 3 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,292
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

95%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

61%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

97%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"South Carolina Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alan Wilson (R)" at 94%, followed by "Jermaine Johnson (D)" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "South Carolina Governor Election Winner" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "South Carolina Governor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Carolina Governor Election Winner" is "Alan Wilson (R)" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jermaine Johnson (D)" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Carolina Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.