South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader sentiment, with the three leading outcomes—3.0% or higher, 2.7-2.9%, and 2.4-2.6%—separated by just a few percentage points in implied probability. Recent data show headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year in August, up from 2.8% in July, while core inflation accelerated to 3.4%, driven by base effects from prior telecom discounts alongside persistent pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and recovering domestic demand tied to semiconductor-led growth. The Bank of Korea has responded with consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, maintaining its 2.7% full-year forecast but acknowledging upside risks from second-round effects and stronger economic momentum now projected at 3.3% GDP growth. September data and upcoming policy meetings will likely determine whether temporary factors subside or demand-side inflation sustains higher readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 31.0%
2.7% to 2.9% 29.5%
2.4% to 2.6% 28.5%
2.1% to 2.3% 8.8%
$47,835 Vol.
$47,835 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
4%
1.8% to 2.0%
6%
2.1% to 2.3%
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
29%
2.7% to 2.9%
30%
3.0%+
31%
3.0%+ 31.0%
2.7% to 2.9% 29.5%
2.4% to 2.6% 28.5%
2.1% to 2.3% 8.8%
$47,835 Vol.
$47,835 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$3,186 Vol.
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,208 Vol.
4%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,958 Vol.
6%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,815 Vol.
9%
2.4% to 2.6%
$7,749 Vol.
29%
2.7% to 2.9%
$10,178 Vol.
30%
3.0%+
$16,742 Vol.
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader sentiment, with the three leading outcomes—3.0% or higher, 2.7-2.9%, and 2.4-2.6%—separated by just a few percentage points in implied probability. Recent data show headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year in August, up from 2.8% in July, while core inflation accelerated to 3.4%, driven by base effects from prior telecom discounts alongside persistent pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and recovering domestic demand tied to semiconductor-led growth. The Bank of Korea has responded with consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, maintaining its 2.7% full-year forecast but acknowledging upside risks from second-round effects and stronger economic momentum now projected at 3.3% GDP growth. September data and upcoming policy meetings will likely determine whether temporary factors subside or demand-side inflation sustains higher readings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$47,835End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader sentiment, with the three leading outcomes—3.0% or higher, 2.7-2.9%, and 2.4-2.6%—separated by just a few percentage points in implied probability. Recent data show headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year in August, up from 2.8% in July, while core inflation accelerated to 3.4%, driven by base effects from prior telecom discounts alongside persistent pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and recovering domestic demand tied to semiconductor-led growth. The Bank of Korea has responded with consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, maintaining its 2.7% full-year forecast but acknowledging upside risks from second-round effects and stronger economic momentum now projected at 3.3% GDP growth. September data and upcoming policy meetings will likely determine whether temporary factors subside or demand-side inflation sustains higher readings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$47,835End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader sentiment, with the three leading outcomes—3.0% or higher, 2.7-2.9%, and 2.4-2.6%—separated by just a few percentage points in implied probability. Recent data show headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year in August, up from 2.8% in July, while core inflation accelerated to 3.4%, driven by base effects from prior telecom discounts alongside persistent pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and recovering domestic demand tied to semiconductor-led growth. The Bank of Korea has responded with consecutive rate hikes to 3.0%, maintaining its 2.7% full-year forecast but acknowledging upside risks from second-round effects and stronger economic momentum now projected at 3.3% GDP growth. September data and upcoming policy meetings will likely determine whether temporary factors subside or demand-side inflation sustains higher readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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