**South Korea’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader views around the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% forecast, with the three leading buckets (3.0%+, 2.7–2.9%, and 2.4–2.6%) each commanding roughly 28–31% implied probability.** Recent August data showed headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year and core (excluding food and energy) accelerating to 3.4%, the fastest pace since 2023, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, a weaker won, and pass-through of prior cost shocks. Strong semiconductor-led growth, now projected at 3.3% for the year, is supporting demand-side pressures and wage gains that could sustain underlying inflation. The BOK’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.00% and its September Monetary Policy Report underscore expectations that inflation will remain above the 2% target for an extended period, though September prints may ease on base effects. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include oil price trajectories, the pace of further monetary tightening, and the extent of consumption recovery spillovers into services prices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 30.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 29.0%
2.4% to 2.6% 28.4%
2.1% to 2.3% 8.0%
$47,951 Vol.
$47,951 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
5%
2.1% to 2.3%
8%
2.4% to 2.6%
28%
2.7% to 2.9%
29%
3.0%+
31%
3.0%+ 30.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 29.0%
2.4% to 2.6% 28.4%
2.1% to 2.3% 8.0%
$47,951 Vol.
$47,951 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$3,186 Vol.
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,208 Vol.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,959 Vol.
5%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,815 Vol.
8%
2.4% to 2.6%
$7,864 Vol.
28%
2.7% to 2.9%
$10,178 Vol.
29%
3.0%+
$16,742 Vol.
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000**South Korea’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader views around the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% forecast, with the three leading buckets (3.0%+, 2.7–2.9%, and 2.4–2.6%) each commanding roughly 28–31% implied probability.** Recent August data showed headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year and core (excluding food and energy) accelerating to 3.4%, the fastest pace since 2023, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, a weaker won, and pass-through of prior cost shocks. Strong semiconductor-led growth, now projected at 3.3% for the year, is supporting demand-side pressures and wage gains that could sustain underlying inflation. The BOK’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.00% and its September Monetary Policy Report underscore expectations that inflation will remain above the 2% target for an extended period, though September prints may ease on base effects. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include oil price trajectories, the pace of further monetary tightening, and the extent of consumption recovery spillovers into services prices.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$47,951End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000**South Korea’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader views around the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% forecast, with the three leading buckets (3.0%+, 2.7–2.9%, and 2.4–2.6%) each commanding roughly 28–31% implied probability.** Recent August data showed headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year and core (excluding food and energy) accelerating to 3.4%, the fastest pace since 2023, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, a weaker won, and pass-through of prior cost shocks. Strong semiconductor-led growth, now projected at 3.3% for the year, is supporting demand-side pressures and wage gains that could sustain underlying inflation. The BOK’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.00% and its September Monetary Policy Report underscore expectations that inflation will remain above the 2% target for an extended period, though September prints may ease on base effects. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include oil price trajectories, the pace of further monetary tightening, and the extent of consumption recovery spillovers into services prices.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$47,951End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**South Korea’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects closely contested trader views around the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% forecast, with the three leading buckets (3.0%+, 2.7–2.9%, and 2.4–2.6%) each commanding roughly 28–31% implied probability.** Recent August data showed headline inflation at 3.1% year-over-year and core (excluding food and energy) accelerating to 3.4%, the fastest pace since 2023, driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, a weaker won, and pass-through of prior cost shocks. Strong semiconductor-led growth, now projected at 3.3% for the year, is supporting demand-side pressures and wage gains that could sustain underlying inflation. The BOK’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.00% and its September Monetary Policy Report underscore expectations that inflation will remain above the 2% target for an extended period, though September prints may ease on base effects. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include oil price trajectories, the pace of further monetary tightening, and the extent of consumption recovery spillovers into services prices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions