Trader consensus heavily favors the Supreme Court declining to accept any AI copyright case before 2027, with an 87.5% implied probability for "No." Major disputes, including the New York Times multidistrict litigation against OpenAI and Microsoft over large language model training data, remain in district court with summary judgment hearings scheduled for October 2026 and ongoing discovery disputes. Recent appellate decisions, such as the Third Circuit's September 2026 upholding of Thomson Reuters' win against Ross Intelligence and Ninth Circuit rulings on DMCA claims in generative AI tools, have not yet produced the circuit splits or final judgments typically required for certiorari. The DOJ's September filing supporting fair use in training further signals lower-court resolution is the near-term path, while the Court's March 2026 denial in the Thaler AI authorship matter underscores its caution on these issues.