**Wu Hsiu-hua leads the Taitung County Magistrate race at 84% implied probability, reflecting the Kuomintang’s structural dominance in a county where the party has held the office for years.** The KMT nominated her in December 2025 as council speaker to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling (Rao Ching-ling). Her institutional role and party machinery provide a clear edge ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. DPP nominee Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with Puyuma indigenous heritage, holds 16.4% as the main challenger in a county where the DPP has never won the magistracy; her background offers appeal among the roughly 25% indigenous electorate. Independent Li Wu Ying-chih sits at 0.1%, with numerous other listed candidates at neutral pricing consistent with negligible support. Recent developments include September 2026 prosecutor questioning of councilors tied to alleged misuse of public funds for a resort project linked to Wu’s family, which has not shifted the market consensus. Historical KMT voting patterns and the absence of major late momentum for the opposition continue to anchor trader positioning.