Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 67.5% implied probability in the Game Awards Game of the Year market, driven by its unprecedented anticipation as Rockstar’s open-world epic slated for a November 19, 2026 release. Traders see the title’s massive scale, cultural impact, and proven Rockstar pedigree as outweighing a notably thin 2026 field, where Resident Evil Requiem leads distant challengers at just 17%. Recent confirmation of the launch date, pre-order activity, and a high-profile Netflix extended look have reinforced momentum, while analysts note the absence of breakout critical darlings or strong guild-style precursors to date. The December 10 ceremony sits close enough to the release window that eligibility remains a key swing factor, though historical voting patterns favor high-profile blockbusters when they deliver on expectations. Market odds reflect this consensus among bettors with capital at stake.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI 68%
Resident Evil Requiem 17%
Phantom Blade Zero 6.7%
Control Resonant 3.1%
$50,068 Vol.
$50,068 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
68%
Resident Evil Requiem
17%
Phantom Blade Zero
7%
Control Resonant
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
2%
Marvel's Wolverine
2%
The Duskbloods
1%
Slay the Spire 2
1%
Gears of War: E-Day
1%
007 First Light
1%
Fable
<1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Crimson Desert
<1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
<1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Saros
<1%
Marathon
<1%
Stranger Than Heaven
<1%
Cairn
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Forza Horizon 6
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Exodus
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 68%
Resident Evil Requiem 17%
Phantom Blade Zero 6.7%
Control Resonant 3.1%
$50,068 Vol.
$50,068 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
68%
Resident Evil Requiem
17%
Phantom Blade Zero
7%
Control Resonant
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
2%
Marvel's Wolverine
2%
The Duskbloods
1%
Slay the Spire 2
1%
Gears of War: E-Day
1%
007 First Light
1%
Fable
<1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Crimson Desert
<1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
<1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Saros
<1%
Marathon
<1%
Stranger Than Heaven
<1%
Cairn
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Forza Horizon 6
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Exodus
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 67.5% implied probability in the Game Awards Game of the Year market, driven by its unprecedented anticipation as Rockstar’s open-world epic slated for a November 19, 2026 release. Traders see the title’s massive scale, cultural impact, and proven Rockstar pedigree as outweighing a notably thin 2026 field, where Resident Evil Requiem leads distant challengers at just 17%. Recent confirmation of the launch date, pre-order activity, and a high-profile Netflix extended look have reinforced momentum, while analysts note the absence of breakout critical darlings or strong guild-style precursors to date. The December 10 ceremony sits close enough to the release window that eligibility remains a key swing factor, though historical voting patterns favor high-profile blockbusters when they deliver on expectations. Market odds reflect this consensus among bettors with capital at stake.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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