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Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18

icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Magnus Carlsen 17%

Hikaru Nakamura 9%

Aleksei Sarana 6.9%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Magnus Carlsen 17%

Hikaru Nakamura 9%

Aleksei Sarana 6.9%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Magnus Carlsen

$13 Vol.

17%

Hikaru Nakamura

$18 Vol.

9%

Aleksei Sarana

$211 Vol.

7%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$1 Vol.

6%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

5%

Arjun Erigaisi

$97 Vol.

5%

David Anton

$0 Vol.

5%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$0 Vol.

5%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

5%

Dincer Tasdogen

$0 Vol.

5%

Faustino Oro

$0 Vol.

5%

Frederik Svane

$0 Vol.

5%

Alexander Grischuk

$0 Vol.

5%

Aleksandar Indjic

$0 Vol.

5%

Aleksandr Shimanov

$0 Vol.

5%

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

$0 Vol.

5%

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

$0 Vol.

5%

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

$0 Vol.

5%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$0 Vol.

5%

Wei Yi

$0 Vol.

5%

Christopher Yoo

$0 Vol.

5%

Andrew Tang

$0 Vol.

5%

Aravindh Chithambaram

$0 Vol.

5%

Benjamin Bok

$0 Vol.

5%

Andrey Esipenko

$0 Vol.

5%

Bardiya Daneshvar

$0 Vol.

5%

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

$0 Vol.

5%

Dmitry Andreikin

$0 Vol.

5%

Dau Khuong Duy

$0 Vol.

5%

Hans Niemann

$0 Vol.

5%

Haowen Xue

$0 Vol.

5%

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$0 Vol.

5%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

5%

Jeffery Xiong

$0 Vol.

5%

Le Tuan Minh

$0 Vol.

5%

Pranav Venkatesh

$0 Vol.

5%

Renato Terry Lujan

$0 Vol.

5%

Rasmus Svane

$0 Vol.

5%

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

$0 Vol.

5%

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

$0 Vol.

5%

Vladislav Artemiev

$0 Vol.

5%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

5%

Nikolas Theodorou

$0 Vol.

5%

Oleksandr Bortnyk

$0 Vol.

5%

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

5%

Javokhir Sindarov

$62 Vol.

5%

Haik Martirosyan

$12 Vol.

5%

Matthias Bluebaum

$12 Vol.

4%

Rudik Makarian

$12 Vol.

4%

Sergey Sklokin

$12 Vol.

4%

Pranesh Munirethinam

$0 Vol.

4%

Vladimir Fedoseev

$12 Vol.

4%

Volen Dyulgerov

$12 Vol.

4%

Vincent Keymer

$12 Vol.

4%

Ding Liren

$12 Vol.

4%

Denis Lazavik

$1 Vol.

4%

Fabiano Caruana

$12 Vol.

4%

Wesley So

$12 Vol.

4%

Brandon Jacobson

$12 Vol.

4%

Awonder Liang

$12 Vol.

4%

Tuomas Turunen

$12 Vol.

4%

Levon Aronian

$12 Vol.

4%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$12 Vol.

4%

Sam Sevian

$12 Vol.

4%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$12 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen leads the field at 17% implied probability due to his recent Titled Tuesday victory on August 4 with 9.5/11 and consistent elite online blitz form. Hikaru Nakamura follows at 9% thanks to his all-time record of wins in the arena, though with fewer 2026 titles. A broad group of grandmasters including Aleksei Sarana, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, and Alireza Firouzja cluster between 5-7% on the strength of multiple recent top finishes and strong Chess.com ratings. Key differentiators include proven arena consistency under time pressure, head-to-head results in similar Swiss-system events, and scheduling availability for the Tuesday format, which favors players with heavy online experience over sporadic OTB participants. The wide distribution reflects the event's depth, where upsets remain common even among top seeds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$608
End Date
Sep 2, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen leads the field at 17% implied probability due to his recent Titled Tuesday victory on August 4 with 9.5/11 and consistent elite online blitz form. Hikaru Nakamura follows at 9% thanks to his all-time record of wins in the arena, though with fewer 2026 titles. A broad group of grandmasters including Aleksei Sarana, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, and Alireza Firouzja cluster between 5-7% on the strength of multiple recent top finishes and strong Chess.com ratings. Key differentiators include proven arena consistency under time pressure, head-to-head results in similar Swiss-system events, and scheduling availability for the Tuesday format, which favors players with heavy online experience over sporadic OTB participants. The wide distribution reflects the event's depth, where upsets remain common even among top seeds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$608
End Date
Sep 2, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magnus Carlsen" at 17%, followed by "Hikaru Nakamura" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" is "Magnus Carlsen" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.