Duda leads the implied probabilities at 38.5% for the September 29 Titled Tuesday Blitz due to his strong 2026 form in the event, including multiple outright wins and consistent top finishes in the 11-round, 5+0 Swiss format. Nakamura sits second at 19.5% as the historical leader in victories and a regular high performer across recent editions. Carlsen trails at 9.5% amid less frequent participation and variable recent results relative to specialists like Firouzja, who captured the prior week’s event outright. The broad field of elite GMs creates high variance in blitz, with lower-probability contenders reflecting occasional upsets from players in peak online form or favorable matchups, though the top seeds maintain edges via rating, experience, and recent head-to-head trends in similar fields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions