Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, drawing establishment backing from Governor Bill Lee and other state Republicans while emphasizing his background as former agriculture commissioner and a longtime farmer. The newly redrawn district, which stretches across rural and suburban counties from Williamson to parts of Memphis, carries a strong Republican partisan lean confirmed by multiple race ratings labeling it solid or safe for the GOP. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, raised substantial funds and secured endorsements including from former Governor Phil Bredesen, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican performance in recent cycles has been dominant. Current market pricing at 91.5% for Hatcher aligns with this positioning, while potential shifts could stem from unusually low turnout, late developments affecting either candidate, or broader national political changes before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$60,150 Vol.
$60,150 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
92%
Chaz Molder (D)
8%
$60,150 Vol.
$60,150 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
$28,755 Vol.
92%
Chaz Molder (D)
$31,395 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, drawing establishment backing from Governor Bill Lee and other state Republicans while emphasizing his background as former agriculture commissioner and a longtime farmer. The newly redrawn district, which stretches across rural and suburban counties from Williamson to parts of Memphis, carries a strong Republican partisan lean confirmed by multiple race ratings labeling it solid or safe for the GOP. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, raised substantial funds and secured endorsements including from former Governor Phil Bredesen, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican performance in recent cycles has been dominant. Current market pricing at 91.5% for Hatcher aligns with this positioning, while potential shifts could stem from unusually low turnout, late developments affecting either candidate, or broader national political changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$60,150End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, drawing establishment backing from Governor Bill Lee and other state Republicans while emphasizing his background as former agriculture commissioner and a longtime farmer. The newly redrawn district, which stretches across rural and suburban counties from Williamson to parts of Memphis, carries a strong Republican partisan lean confirmed by multiple race ratings labeling it solid or safe for the GOP. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, raised substantial funds and secured endorsements including from former Governor Phil Bredesen, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican performance in recent cycles has been dominant. Current market pricing at 91.5% for Hatcher aligns with this positioning, while potential shifts could stem from unusually low turnout, late developments affecting either candidate, or broader national political changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,150End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, drawing establishment backing from Governor Bill Lee and other state Republicans while emphasizing his background as former agriculture commissioner and a longtime farmer. The newly redrawn district, which stretches across rural and suburban counties from Williamson to parts of Memphis, carries a strong Republican partisan lean confirmed by multiple race ratings labeling it solid or safe for the GOP. Chaz Molder, the Democratic nominee and Columbia mayor, raised substantial funds and secured endorsements including from former Governor Phil Bredesen, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican performance in recent cycles has been dominant. Current market pricing at 91.5% for Hatcher aligns with this positioning, while potential shifts could stem from unusually low turnout, late developments affecting either candidate, or broader national political changes before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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