Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a district redrawn in May 2026 that retains a strong Republican tilt across its rural and suburban counties. Garrett, a sitting state representative and former House Republican whip, benefits from endorsements by national GOP figures and alignment with conservative priorities on immigration and cultural issues. Democratic nominee Mike Croley, who prevailed in a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With early voting approaching in mid-October and the general election set for November 3, the market’s heavy weighting toward Garrett reflects the district’s partisan composition and absence of competitive polling shifts since the primaries. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout in Davidson County portions could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged.