Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as solidly Republican. The open seat created by incumbent John Rose's retirement to run for governor has advanced state Representative Johnny Garrett as the GOP nominee following the August 6 primary, while Democrat Mike Croley secured his party's nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5%. This positioning stems from the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee and limited historical crossover voting. A Democratic victory would require a substantial national midterm wave, major nominee-specific disruption, or unprecedented turnout shifts that have not materialized in comparable districts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$12,393 Vol.
$12,393 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$12,393 Vol.
$12,393 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,446 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,947 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as solidly Republican. The open seat created by incumbent John Rose's retirement to run for governor has advanced state Representative Johnny Garrett as the GOP nominee following the August 6 primary, while Democrat Mike Croley secured his party's nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5%. This positioning stems from the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee and limited historical crossover voting. A Democratic victory would require a substantial national midterm wave, major nominee-specific disruption, or unprecedented turnout shifts that have not materialized in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,393End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as solidly Republican. The open seat created by incumbent John Rose's retirement to run for governor has advanced state Representative Johnny Garrett as the GOP nominee following the August 6 primary, while Democrat Mike Croley secured his party's nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5%. This positioning stems from the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee and limited historical crossover voting. A Democratic victory would require a substantial national midterm wave, major nominee-specific disruption, or unprecedented turnout shifts that have not materialized in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,393End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as solidly Republican. The open seat created by incumbent John Rose's retirement to run for governor has advanced state Representative Johnny Garrett as the GOP nominee following the August 6 primary, while Democrat Mike Croley secured his party's nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5%. This positioning stems from the district's suburban and rural composition across Middle Tennessee and limited historical crossover voting. A Democratic victory would require a substantial national midterm wave, major nominee-specific disruption, or unprecedented turnout shifts that have not materialized in comparable districts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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