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icon for UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
Sports·Combats

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
Sports·Combats

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Justin Gaethje 6.7%

Maurício Ruffy 4.9%

Ilia Topuria 4.5%

Benoît Saint Denis 4.3%

Polymarket

$200,997 Vol.

Justin Gaethje 6.7%

Maurício Ruffy 4.9%

Ilia Topuria 4.5%

Benoît Saint Denis 4.3%

Polymarket

$200,997 Vol.

Justin Gaethje

$8,920 Vol.

7%

Maurício Ruffy

$108,515 Vol.

5%

Ilia Topuria

$2,396 Vol.

5%

Benoît Saint Denis

$3,031 Vol.

4%

Paddy Pimblett

$13,485 Vol.

4%

Conor McGregor

$5,354 Vol.

3%

Islam Makhachev

$2,409 Vol.

3%

Arman Tsarukyan

$9,015 Vol.

2%

Mateusz Gamrot

$36,702 Vol.

1%

Dan Hooker

$11,169 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Charles Oliveira’s next opponent remains undecided following his March 2026 unanimous decision win over Max Holloway to claim the BMF title, leaving the lightweight division’s matchmaking wide open as of late September. The Brazilian pulled out of a scheduled UFC 331 rematch with Arman Tsarukyan due to a teammate’s death, with Maurício Ruffy stepping in, which has kept several names in play. Oliveira has publicly targeted a lightweight title bout against champion Justin Gaethje to unify belts, citing history and momentum, while other contenders like Benoît Saint Denis, Ilia Topuria, and Paddy Pimblett factor into discussions based on ranking proximity, stylistic matchups, and recent form. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single fighter holding a dominant implied probability amid unconfirmed offers and multiple viable paths forward.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$200,997
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Charles Oliveira’s next opponent remains undecided following his March 2026 unanimous decision win over Max Holloway to claim the BMF title, leaving the lightweight division’s matchmaking wide open as of late September. The Brazilian pulled out of a scheduled UFC 331 rematch with Arman Tsarukyan due to a teammate’s death, with Maurício Ruffy stepping in, which has kept several names in play. Oliveira has publicly targeted a lightweight title bout against champion Justin Gaethje to unify belts, citing history and momentum, while other contenders like Benoît Saint Denis, Ilia Topuria, and Paddy Pimblett factor into discussions based on ranking proximity, stylistic matchups, and recent form. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single fighter holding a dominant implied probability amid unconfirmed offers and multiple viable paths forward.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$200,997
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Gaethje" at 7%, followed by "Maurício Ruffy" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" has generated $201K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is "Justin Gaethje" at just 7%, with "Maurício Ruffy" close behind at 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.