The robust performance of the all-volunteer U.S. military underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against draft authorization in 2026. Active and reserve components met or exceeded recruiting targets through mid-2026, with services such as the Army, Navy, and Marine Corps surpassing goals months ahead of schedule and retention improving across career zones. No legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to enable induction has advanced, and the FY2026 NDAA provision for automated Selective Service registration—effective December 2026—updates the existing database without authorizing conscription. Congress and the executive branch have consistently signaled preference for volunteer forces, with public opposition to a draft remaining elevated. Only an unforeseen national emergency producing manpower shortfalls beyond volunteer capacity, followed by rapid congressional passage and presidential approval, could shift this outcome before year-end.