Recent round-of-16 results have clarified much of the women's singles quarterfinal picture at the 2026 US Open, with several seeded players advancing amid notable upsets. Qinwen Zheng, a low-ranked qualifier, stunned eighth seed Iga Swiatek 7-5, 6-3 after trailing 5-0 in the opening set, securing her first US Open quarterfinal appearance. No. 2 Elena Rybakina dominated Naomi Osaka 6-1, 6-4, while No. 4 Coco Gauff and No. 5 Mirra Andreeva also progressed in straight sets or three. Top seed Aryna Sabalenka and No. 3 Jessica Pegula reached the final eight earlier, setting up a competitive draw where form, serve strength, and hard-court movement continue to shape implied probabilities for remaining contenders. Quarterfinal matches begin September 8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$54,991 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
Yes
Elena Rybakina
Yes
Jessica Pegula
Yes
Coco Gauff
Yes
Mirra Andreeva
Yes
Linda Noskova
Yes
Karolina Muchova
No
Iga Swiatek
No
Elina Svitolina
No
Amanda Anisimova
No
Marta Kostyuk
No
Belinda Bencic
No
Naomi Osaka
No
Iva Jovic
No
Diana Shnaider
No
Sorana Cirstea
No
Alexandra Eala
No
Ekaterina Alexandrova
No
Jasmine Paolini
No
Maja Chwalinska
No
Anna Kalinskaya
No
Madison Keys
No
Elise Mertens
No
Anastasia Potapova
No
Emma Navarro
Yes
Marie Bouzkova
No
Barbora Krejcikova
No
Sara Bejlek
No
Ann Li
No
Jelena Ostapenko
No
Leylah Fernandez
No
Maria Sakkari
No
Reese Brantmeier
No
Thea Frodin
No
Leolia Jeanjean
No
Sofia Kenin
No
Carol Young Suh Lee
No
Taylah Preston
No
Sloane Stephens
No
Venus Williams
No
$54,991 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
Yes
Elena Rybakina
Yes
Jessica Pegula
Yes
Coco Gauff
Yes
Mirra Andreeva
Yes
Linda Noskova
Yes
Karolina Muchova
No
Iga Swiatek
No
Elina Svitolina
No
Amanda Anisimova
No
Marta Kostyuk
No
Belinda Bencic
No
Naomi Osaka
No
Iva Jovic
No
Diana Shnaider
No
Sorana Cirstea
No
Alexandra Eala
No
Ekaterina Alexandrova
No
Jasmine Paolini
No
Maja Chwalinska
No
Anna Kalinskaya
No
Madison Keys
No
Elise Mertens
No
Anastasia Potapova
No
Emma Navarro
Yes
Marie Bouzkova
No
Barbora Krejcikova
No
Sara Bejlek
No
Ann Li
No
Jelena Ostapenko
No
Leylah Fernandez
No
Maria Sakkari
No
Reese Brantmeier
No
Thea Frodin
No
Leolia Jeanjean
No
Sofia Kenin
No
Carol Young Suh Lee
No
Taylah Preston
No
Sloane Stephens
No
Venus Williams
No
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent round-of-16 results have clarified much of the women's singles quarterfinal picture at the 2026 US Open, with several seeded players advancing amid notable upsets. Qinwen Zheng, a low-ranked qualifier, stunned eighth seed Iga Swiatek 7-5, 6-3 after trailing 5-0 in the opening set, securing her first US Open quarterfinal appearance. No. 2 Elena Rybakina dominated Naomi Osaka 6-1, 6-4, while No. 4 Coco Gauff and No. 5 Mirra Andreeva also progressed in straight sets or three. Top seed Aryna Sabalenka and No. 3 Jessica Pegula reached the final eight earlier, setting up a competitive draw where form, serve strength, and hard-court movement continue to shape implied probabilities for remaining contenders. Quarterfinal matches begin September 8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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