Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於UT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$22,751 交易量
$22,751 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$22,751 交易量
$22,751 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$9,674 交易量
93%
Democratic Party
$13,077 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$22,751結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,751結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions