Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+5 and holds a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, elected in 2024, maintains an early lead in recent polling such as a May Tavern Research survey showing a 6-point advantage over Democratic challenger Carmela Conroy, who previously lost the seat. Baumgartner's fundraising edge and name recognition have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Multiple other candidates filed by the May 8 deadline, yet the district's voting history and limited national attention continue to support Republican positioning without major recent shifts in momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,655 交易量
$14,655 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
27%
$14,655 交易量
$14,655 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,822 交易量
75%
民主党
$7,833 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+5 and holds a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, elected in 2024, maintains an early lead in recent polling such as a May Tavern Research survey showing a 6-point advantage over Democratic challenger Carmela Conroy, who previously lost the seat. Baumgartner's fundraising edge and name recognition have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Multiple other candidates filed by the May 8 deadline, yet the district's voting history and limited national attention continue to support Republican positioning without major recent shifts in momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,655结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+5 and holds a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, elected in 2024, maintains an early lead in recent polling such as a May Tavern Research survey showing a 6-point advantage over Democratic challenger Carmela Conroy, who previously lost the seat. Baumgartner's fundraising edge and name recognition have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Multiple other candidates filed by the May 8 deadline, yet the district's voting history and limited national attention continue to support Republican positioning without major recent shifts in momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,655结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+5 and holds a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, elected in 2024, maintains an early lead in recent polling such as a May Tavern Research survey showing a 6-point advantage over Democratic challenger Carmela Conroy, who previously lost the seat. Baumgartner's fundraising edge and name recognition have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Multiple other candidates filed by the May 8 deadline, yet the district's voting history and limited national attention continue to support Republican positioning without major recent shifts in momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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