West Virginia voters will decide the Citizenship Voting Requirement Amendment on November 3, 2026, creating the balanced trader consensus around even odds. The legislatively referred measure, which passed both chambers unanimously, would revise the state constitution to specify that only U.S. citizens who are state residents may vote, reinforcing existing statutory prohibitions while addressing the current text's reference to "citizens of the state." With no documented instances of noncitizen voting and no active opposition reported, the outcome hinges on turnout patterns, Republican-led campaign mobilization, and historical precedent where roughly half of West Virginia constitutional amendments have passed since the 1980s. Late developments such as polling on the measure, national immigration debates, or shifts in voter mobilization could alter probabilities before election day.