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What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

icon for What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

$108,972 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$108,972 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 18,000

$12,226 Vol.

4%

↑ 16,000

$20,178 Vol.

4%

↑ 14,000

$13,409 Vol.

5%

↓ 10,000

$26,527 Vol.

26%

↓ 8,000

$10,332 Vol.

10%

↓ 6,000

$12,096 Vol.

5%

↓ 4,000

$14,204 Vol.

3%

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.Dubai real estate indices have moderated in 2026 after peaking early in the year, with the PIX index at 207.0 in August (down 2.4% year-over-year) and other measures like ValuStrat’s residential index at 219.2 (down 1.6% YoY). Primary drivers include elevated completed supply—104 projects added over 24,500 units in H1 2026, up 39% from a year earlier—alongside transaction volumes running below 2025 peaks despite a 25% summer rebound in secondary sales. Regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict have weighed on sentiment, with forecasts pointing to an average 5% price decline for the year. Completed residential segments show relative resilience versus off-plan, while rents have eased in some segments amid higher inventory. Traders will monitor Q4 transaction data, new project launches, and any shifts in international buyer flows for signals on year-end index levels.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
Volume
$108,972
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.Dubai real estate indices have moderated in 2026 after peaking early in the year, with the PIX index at 207.0 in August (down 2.4% year-over-year) and other measures like ValuStrat’s residential index at 219.2 (down 1.6% YoY). Primary drivers include elevated completed supply—104 projects added over 24,500 units in H1 2026, up 39% from a year earlier—alongside transaction volumes running below 2025 peaks despite a 25% summer rebound in secondary sales. Regional tensions linked to the Iran conflict have weighed on sentiment, with forecasts pointing to an average 5% price decline for the year. Completed residential segments show relative resilience versus off-plan, while rents have eased in some segments amid higher inventory. Traders will monitor Q4 transaction data, new project launches, and any shifts in international buyer flows for signals on year-end index levels.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
Volume
$108,972
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 12,000" at 100%, followed by "↓ 10,000" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" has generated $109K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" is "↑ 12,000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 10,000" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.