Maxx Crosby’s three-year, $106.5 million extension signed with the Las Vegas Raiders in March 2025, featuring $91.5 million in guarantees and a substantial 2026 cap hit, anchors trader consensus at 86.6% probability he remains with the team. His repeated public statements expressing a desire to stay a Raider for life, combined with the collapse of a reported March 2026 trade to the Baltimore Ravens over medical concerns, have reinforced this positioning. The Raiders’ willingness to retain the four-time Pro Bowl edge rusher despite roster-building needs further supports the market view. While a significant injury, sharp performance decline, or unexpected roster overhaul could theoretically open other destinations such as the Dallas Cowboys at 9.2%, the contract’s dead-cap implications create substantial barriers to departure before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 86.7%
Dallas Cowboys 9.8%
Philadelphia Eagles 3.6%
San Francisco 49ers 1.4%
$6,326,318 Vol.
$6,326,318 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
87%
Dallas Cowboys
10%
Philadelphia Eagles
4%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
Green Bay Packers
1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 86.7%
Dallas Cowboys 9.8%
Philadelphia Eagles 3.6%
San Francisco 49ers 1.4%
$6,326,318 Vol.
$6,326,318 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
87%
Dallas Cowboys
10%
Philadelphia Eagles
4%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
Green Bay Packers
1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxx Crosby’s three-year, $106.5 million extension signed with the Las Vegas Raiders in March 2025, featuring $91.5 million in guarantees and a substantial 2026 cap hit, anchors trader consensus at 86.6% probability he remains with the team. His repeated public statements expressing a desire to stay a Raider for life, combined with the collapse of a reported March 2026 trade to the Baltimore Ravens over medical concerns, have reinforced this positioning. The Raiders’ willingness to retain the four-time Pro Bowl edge rusher despite roster-building needs further supports the market view. While a significant injury, sharp performance decline, or unexpected roster overhaul could theoretically open other destinations such as the Dallas Cowboys at 9.2%, the contract’s dead-cap implications create substantial barriers to departure before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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