Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders at 80% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, anchored by his contract carrying a $30 million base salary and $35.8 million cap hit, plus over $64 million dead cap value that deters trades despite ongoing inquiries. A March blockbuster to Baltimore for two first-round picks collapsed over a failed physical from meniscus repair, reinforcing Raiders GM John Spytek's expectation he'll stay amid a repaired player-team relationship. Atlanta Falcons at 9% reflect their cap flexibility and dire EDGE need post-offseason, while Eagles (3%) and Packers (3%) draw from reported interest by contenders eyeing pass-rush upgrades, though no deals have materialized in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 83.5%
Atlanta Falcons 9.3%
Green Bay Packers 6.4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.8%
$204,617 Vol.
$204,617 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders
84%
Atlanta Falcons
9%
Green Bay Packers
6%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4%
Philadelphia Eagles
3%
Cincinnati Bengals
3%
Detroit Lions
3%
Baltimore Ravens
2%
Seattle Seahawks
1%
Washington Commanders
1%
Dallas Cowboys
1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
1%
Houston Texans
1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 83.5%
Atlanta Falcons 9.3%
Green Bay Packers 6.4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.8%
$204,617 Vol.
$204,617 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders
$11,487 Vol.
84%
Atlanta Falcons
$4,188 Vol.
9%
Green Bay Packers
$2,944 Vol.
6%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$4,979 Vol.
4%
Philadelphia Eagles
$10,508 Vol.
3%
Cincinnati Bengals
$7,092 Vol.
3%
Detroit Lions
$13,474 Vol.
3%
Baltimore Ravens
$10,777 Vol.
2%
Seattle Seahawks
$6,386 Vol.
1%
Washington Commanders
$4,973 Vol.
1%
Dallas Cowboys
$6,048 Vol.
1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
$3,931 Vol.
1%
Houston Texans
$4,826 Vol.
1%
Tennessee Titans
$5,388 Vol.
<1%
Chicago Bears
$12,564 Vol.
<1%
Miami Dolphins
$3,669 Vol.
<1%
New Orleans Saints
$5,165 Vol.
<1%
Cleveland Browns
$5,571 Vol.
<1%
New York Jets
$3,749 Vol.
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
$4,695 Vol.
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
$17,276 Vol.
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
$10,375 Vol.
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
$4,404 Vol.
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
$6,517 Vol.
<1%
Buffalo Bills
$7,000 Vol.
<1%
New England Patriots
$6,434 Vol.
<1%
Carolina Panthers
$3,025 Vol.
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
$2,643 Vol.
<1%
Denver Broncos
$4,539 Vol.
<1%
New York Giants
$3,541 Vol.
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
$3,226 Vol.
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
$3,224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders at 80% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, anchored by his contract carrying a $30 million base salary and $35.8 million cap hit, plus over $64 million dead cap value that deters trades despite ongoing inquiries. A March blockbuster to Baltimore for two first-round picks collapsed over a failed physical from meniscus repair, reinforcing Raiders GM John Spytek's expectation he'll stay amid a repaired player-team relationship. Atlanta Falcons at 9% reflect their cap flexibility and dire EDGE need post-offseason, while Eagles (3%) and Packers (3%) draw from reported interest by contenders eyeing pass-rush upgrades, though no deals have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$204,617End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders at 80% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, anchored by his contract carrying a $30 million base salary and $35.8 million cap hit, plus over $64 million dead cap value that deters trades despite ongoing inquiries. A March blockbuster to Baltimore for two first-round picks collapsed over a failed physical from meniscus repair, reinforcing Raiders GM John Spytek's expectation he'll stay amid a repaired player-team relationship. Atlanta Falcons at 9% reflect their cap flexibility and dire EDGE need post-offseason, while Eagles (3%) and Packers (3%) draw from reported interest by contenders eyeing pass-rush upgrades, though no deals have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$204,617End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders at 80% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, anchored by his contract carrying a $30 million base salary and $35.8 million cap hit, plus over $64 million dead cap value that deters trades despite ongoing inquiries. A March blockbuster to Baltimore for two first-round picks collapsed over a failed physical from meniscus repair, reinforcing Raiders GM John Spytek's expectation he'll stay amid a repaired player-team relationship. Atlanta Falcons at 9% reflect their cap flexibility and dire EDGE need post-offseason, while Eagles (3%) and Packers (3%) draw from reported interest by contenders eyeing pass-rush upgrades, though no deals have materialized in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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