Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus and Sonnet variants, drive the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they have exceeded 80% accuracy on real-world software engineering tasks. Their integration into widely used developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code has reinforced practical adoption among programmers, outpacing competitors in agentic workflows and large-context handling. OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive but trails slightly in head-to-head evaluations. With resolution at the end of June, the market could shift only if OpenAI or another lab releases a verified superior model or if new third-party benchmarks dramatically alter the ranking before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di Coding AI alla fine di giugno?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di Coding AI alla fine di giugno?
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.5%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,513 Vol.
$54,513 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
4%
Z.ai
1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.5%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$54,513 Vol.
$54,513 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Anthropic
$8,175 Vol.
95%
OpenAI
$6,746 Vol.
4%
Z.ai
$6,001 Vol.
1%
$5,416 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$6,202 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$2,809 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$4,347 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$4,449 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$4,514 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$747 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$868 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$894 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$633 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$870 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus and Sonnet variants, drive the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they have exceeded 80% accuracy on real-world software engineering tasks. Their integration into widely used developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code has reinforced practical adoption among programmers, outpacing competitors in agentic workflows and large-context handling. OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive but trails slightly in head-to-head evaluations. With resolution at the end of June, the market could shift only if OpenAI or another lab releases a verified superior model or if new third-party benchmarks dramatically alter the ranking before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$54,513Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus and Sonnet variants, drive the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they have exceeded 80% accuracy on real-world software engineering tasks. Their integration into widely used developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code has reinforced practical adoption among programmers, outpacing competitors in agentic workflows and large-context handling. OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive but trails slightly in head-to-head evaluations. With resolution at the end of June, the market could shift only if OpenAI or another lab releases a verified superior model or if new third-party benchmarks dramatically alter the ranking before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$54,513Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus and Sonnet variants, drive the overwhelming 94.5% market-implied odds through consistent leadership on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they have exceeded 80% accuracy on real-world software engineering tasks. Their integration into widely used developer tools like Cursor and Claude Code has reinforced practical adoption among programmers, outpacing competitors in agentic workflows and large-context handling. OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive but trails slightly in head-to-head evaluations. With resolution at the end of June, the market could shift only if OpenAI or another lab releases a verified superior model or if new third-party benchmarks dramatically alter the ranking before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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