US military operations amid the 2026 Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for warship transits through the Strait of Hormuz. The US Navy has conducted mine-clearing and escort missions since April, including destroyer passages to maintain freedom of navigation near Oman’s coast while coordinating commercial traffic under Central Command oversight. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute naval assets, though many have declined direct involvement to date. Iran maintains control over portions of the waterway and has coordinated select merchant transits, creating distinct lanes amid ongoing tensions. With the June 30 resolution window closing soon, any additional deployments by the US or partner nations before that date would determine outcomes, while stalled diplomatic talks limit near-term de-escalation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$156,027 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
United Kingdom
9%
France
8%
Germany
<1%
Italy
5%
Netherlands
5%
Japan
1%
Canada
3%
India
7%
Greece
3%
Pakistan
20%
United States
30%
Saudi Arabia
15%
UAE
12%
Bahrain
8%
Qatar
12%
Kuwait
10%
Oman
6%
South Korea
4%
Australia
6%
$156,027 Vol.
United Kingdom
$43,401 Vol.
9%
France
$64,214 Vol.
8%
Germany
$9,147 Vol.
<1%
Italy
$4,897 Vol.
5%
Netherlands
$5,955 Vol.
5%
Japan
$921 Vol.
1%
Canada
$141 Vol.
3%
India
$358 Vol.
7%
Greece
$246 Vol.
3%
Pakistan
$360 Vol.
20%
United States
$5,565 Vol.
30%
Saudi Arabia
$427 Vol.
15%
UAE
$105 Vol.
12%
Bahrain
$113 Vol.
8%
Qatar
$8,407 Vol.
12%
Kuwait
$175 Vol.
10%
Oman
$133 Vol.
6%
South Korea
$131 Vol.
4%
Australia
$11,330 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US military operations amid the 2026 Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for warship transits through the Strait of Hormuz. The US Navy has conducted mine-clearing and escort missions since April, including destroyer passages to maintain freedom of navigation near Oman’s coast while coordinating commercial traffic under Central Command oversight. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute naval assets, though many have declined direct involvement to date. Iran maintains control over portions of the waterway and has coordinated select merchant transits, creating distinct lanes amid ongoing tensions. With the June 30 resolution window closing soon, any additional deployments by the US or partner nations before that date would determine outcomes, while stalled diplomatic talks limit near-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$156,027শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US military operations amid the 2026 Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for warship transits through the Strait of Hormuz. The US Navy has conducted mine-clearing and escort missions since April, including destroyer passages to maintain freedom of navigation near Oman’s coast while coordinating commercial traffic under Central Command oversight. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute naval assets, though many have declined direct involvement to date. Iran maintains control over portions of the waterway and has coordinated select merchant transits, creating distinct lanes amid ongoing tensions. With the June 30 resolution window closing soon, any additional deployments by the US or partner nations before that date would determine outcomes, while stalled diplomatic talks limit near-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ভলিউম
$156,027শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations amid the 2026 Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for warship transits through the Strait of Hormuz. The US Navy has conducted mine-clearing and escort missions since April, including destroyer passages to maintain freedom of navigation near Oman’s coast while coordinating commercial traffic under Central Command oversight. President Trump has publicly urged allies to contribute naval assets, though many have declined direct involvement to date. Iran maintains control over portions of the waterway and has coordinated select merchant transits, creating distinct lanes amid ongoing tensions. With the June 30 resolution window closing soon, any additional deployments by the US or partner nations before that date would determine outcomes, while stalled diplomatic talks limit near-term de-escalation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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