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Sports·UFC

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

icon for Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Ilia Topuria 65%

Islam/None in 2026 35%

Alex Pereira 16.3%

Dricus Du Plessis 1.1%

Polymarket

$22,054 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 65%

Islam/None in 2026 35%

Alex Pereira 16.3%

Dricus Du Plessis 1.1%

Polymarket

$22,054 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$1,806 Vol.

61%

Khamzat Chimaev

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

Alex Pereira

$1,499 Vol.

12%

Alexander Volkanovski

$1,246 Vol.

1%

Petr Yan

$1,098 Vol.

1%

Merab Dvalishvili

$953 Vol.

<1%

Tom Aspinall

$1,192 Vol.

1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$1,211 Vol.

<1%

Max Holloway

$864 Vol.

<1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$1,023 Vol.

1%

Joshua Van

$1,255 Vol.

1%

Magomed Ankalaev

$713 Vol.

<1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$921 Vol.

1%

Arman Tsarukyan

$4,876 Vol.

<1%

Islam/None in 2026

$2,102 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria leads the market at 62.5% implied probability because he captured the lightweight title in 2025 with a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira, extending his undefeated record while showcasing elite boxing and finishing ability that shifted him to the top of multiple official pound-for-pound rankings earlier in the year. Recent developments include his scheduled lightweight title defense against Justin Gaethje at the UFC White House card in June 2026, which keeps him in the spotlight with high-visibility activity. Islam Makhachev sits second at 35% due to his ongoing welterweight reign and prior long dominance at lightweight, though potential super-fight discussions with Topuria have stalled amid scheduling complications. Alex Pereira at 11.8% reflects his heavyweight and light heavyweight success, but the lightweight and welterweight title picture favors the younger, undefeated Topuria in trader assessments of who holds the top pound-for-pound spot by year-end.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev.

If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$22,054
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria leads the market at 62.5% implied probability because he captured the lightweight title in 2025 with a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira, extending his undefeated record while showcasing elite boxing and finishing ability that shifted him to the top of multiple official pound-for-pound rankings earlier in the year. Recent developments include his scheduled lightweight title defense against Justin Gaethje at the UFC White House card in June 2026, which keeps him in the spotlight with high-visibility activity. Islam Makhachev sits second at 35% due to his ongoing welterweight reign and prior long dominance at lightweight, though potential super-fight discussions with Topuria have stalled amid scheduling complications. Alex Pereira at 11.8% reflects his heavyweight and light heavyweight success, but the lightweight and welterweight title picture favors the younger, undefeated Topuria in trader assessments of who holds the top pound-for-pound spot by year-end.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev.

If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$22,054
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 61%, followed by "Islam/None in 2026" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Islam/None in 2026" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.