**Polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud-led right-religious bloc (including Shas, United Torah Judaism, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and Otzma Yehudit) hovering near or below the 61-seat majority threshold, often at 51-54 seats, while the opposing bloc centered on Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett-Yair Lapid's Together list reaches similar or slightly higher totals.** The 25th Knesset completed its full term before dissolving in July, ending years of snap elections. Recent developments include candidate-list submissions, surplus-vote agreements pairing major parties, and Central Elections Committee rulings on disqualifications (with Arab lists facing challenges expected to reach the Supreme Court). Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over post-election coalition arithmetic, Haredi military-exemption disputes, small-party threshold survival, and whether opposition parties will pursue Arab-party inclusion or a unity government to reach a governing majority.