Trump’s mid-September announcement of an “AI Force” modeled on the Space Force, coupled with his pledge to name a new “super intelligence” czar within days, has driven fragmented trader sentiment in this market. After ruling out Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, no single insider has consolidated support, leaving administration figures such as OSTP Director Michael Kratsios, National Cyber Director Sean Cairncross, OPM Director Scott Kupor, and former White House AI adviser Sriram Krishnan with low single-digit implied probabilities. Recent White House meetings with tech CEOs produced a voluntary self-regulation accord and an executive order rebranding AI as “super intelligence,” yet the absence of a confirmed frontrunner or firm timeline sustains uncertainty, reflected in the 13.6% chance of no appointment by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved









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