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Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 60%

Merab Dvalishvili 32%

Song Yadong 2.2%

Sean O'Malley <1%

Polymarket

$461,437 Vol.

Petr Yan 60%

Merab Dvalishvili 32%

Song Yadong 2.2%

Sean O'Malley <1%

Polymarket

$461,437 Vol.

Petr Yan

$8,049 Vol.

60%

Merab Dvalishvili

$7,616 Vol.

32%

Song Yadong

$120,162 Vol.

2%

Sean O'Malley

$9,519 Vol.

1%

Marlon Vera

$65,461 Vol.

<1%

David Martinez

$111,117 Vol.

<1%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$5,345 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$4,855 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$43,138 Vol.

<1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$62,923 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$23,252 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds a clear edge in the UFC bantamweight title market at 59.5% implied probability due to his decisive unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, reclaiming the belt for a second reign after a strong four-fight win streak. The scheduled trilogy bout at UFC 333 on October 24 in Abu Dhabi positions Yan as the defending champion with momentum from his improved striking and durability shown in their prior meeting. Dvalishvili sits at 32% as the high-volume wrestler seeking to even the series at 1-1, though his recent title loss and the short timeline to year-end limit further title changes. Lower-priced options like Song Yadong reflect deeper division talent but lack immediate paths to the belt before December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$461,437
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds a clear edge in the UFC bantamweight title market at 59.5% implied probability due to his decisive unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, reclaiming the belt for a second reign after a strong four-fight win streak. The scheduled trilogy bout at UFC 333 on October 24 in Abu Dhabi positions Yan as the defending champion with momentum from his improved striking and durability shown in their prior meeting. Dvalishvili sits at 32% as the high-volume wrestler seeking to even the series at 1-1, though his recent title loss and the short timeline to year-end limit further title changes. Lower-priced options like Song Yadong reflect deeper division talent but lack immediate paths to the belt before December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$461,437
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 60%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $461.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.