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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Movsar Evloev 54%

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Brian Ortega 4.2%

Arnold Allen 2.9%

Polymarket

$12,995 Vol.

Movsar Evloev 54%

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Brian Ortega 4.2%

Arnold Allen 2.9%

Polymarket

$12,995 Vol.

Movsar Evloev

$5,304 Vol.

54%

Alexander Volkanovski

$1,145 Vol.

53%

Brian Ortega

$461 Vol.

4%

Arnold Allen

$521 Vol.

3%

Steve Garcia

$438 Vol.

2%

Aljamain Sterling

$401 Vol.

9%

Diego Lopes

$611 Vol.

1%

Yair Rodriguez

$383 Vol.

<1%

Youssef Zalal

$447 Vol.

<1%

Lerone Murphy

$1,407 Vol.

40%

Jean Silva

$1,877 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski's unanimous decision reclaim of the UFC featherweight title against Diego Lopes on April 12 has solidified his position as trader consensus favorite at 47.5%, reflecting his veteran experience and five-round dominance despite past setbacks. Lerone Murphy's implied 41.8% probability persists after a controversial majority decision loss to Movsar Evloev on March 21 at UFC London—many view it as a robbery or draw given Murphy's striking volume amid Evloev's point deduction for low blows—highlighting the division's parity. Evloev's unbeaten 20-0 wrestling base earns 28%, while Jean Silva's knockout streak adds upset potential at 22.3%, keeping the end-of-2026 race tightly contested amid no announced title defenses.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$12,995
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski's unanimous decision reclaim of the UFC featherweight title against Diego Lopes on April 12 has solidified his position as trader consensus favorite at 47.5%, reflecting his veteran experience and five-round dominance despite past setbacks. Lerone Murphy's implied 41.8% probability persists after a controversial majority decision loss to Movsar Evloev on March 21 at UFC London—many view it as a robbery or draw given Murphy's striking volume amid Evloev's point deduction for low blows—highlighting the division's parity. Evloev's unbeaten 20-0 wrestling base earns 28%, while Jean Silva's knockout streak adds upset potential at 22.3%, keeping the end-of-2026 race tightly contested amid no announced title defenses.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$12,995
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 54%, followed by "Alexander Volkanovski" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Movsar Evloev" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.