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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 63%

Movsar Evloev 34%

Jean Silva 4.8%

Lerone Murphy 3.9%

Polymarket

$13,575 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski 63%

Movsar Evloev 34%

Jean Silva 4.8%

Lerone Murphy 3.9%

Polymarket

$13,575 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski

$1,149 Vol.

49%

Movsar Evloev

$5,569 Vol.

46%

Jean Silva

$2,077 Vol.

5%

Lerone Murphy

$1,407 Vol.

4%

Arnold Allen

$521 Vol.

3%

Steve Garcia

$438 Vol.

3%

Brian Ortega

$572 Vol.

2%

Aljamain Sterling

$401 Vol.

8%

Diego Lopes

$611 Vol.

1%

Yair Rodriguez

$383 Vol.

<1%

Youssef Zalal

$447 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski's position as the current UFC Featherweight champion, fresh off a unanimous decision defense against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in early 2026, anchors trader consensus around his 57.5% implied probability of holding the belt through year-end. The 37-year-old Australian has restored dominance with tactical mastery and multiple title-fight wins, though his age and potential August-September return create openings for challengers. Movsar Evloev's undefeated 20-0 record and majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March have elevated him to clear #1 contender status, driving his 44.5% share through relentless wrestling and recent momentum in the division. Lower probabilities for Aljamain Sterling, Jean Silva, and Arnold Allen reflect their solid but less immediate paths amid Volkanovski's experience edge and the crowded 145-pound landscape heading into late-2026 title implications.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$13,575
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski's position as the current UFC Featherweight champion, fresh off a unanimous decision defense against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in early 2026, anchors trader consensus around his 57.5% implied probability of holding the belt through year-end. The 37-year-old Australian has restored dominance with tactical mastery and multiple title-fight wins, though his age and potential August-September return create openings for challengers. Movsar Evloev's undefeated 20-0 record and majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March have elevated him to clear #1 contender status, driving his 44.5% share through relentless wrestling and recent momentum in the division. Lower probabilities for Aljamain Sterling, Jean Silva, and Arnold Allen reflect their solid but less immediate paths amid Volkanovski's experience edge and the crowded 145-pound landscape heading into late-2026 title implications.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$13,575
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 49%, followed by "Movsar Evloev" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.