Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat centered on Madison with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins. The absence of any Republican filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline has eliminated organized opposition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Pocan’s prior 70 percent-plus victories, fundraising advantage, and committee role further solidify the position. A late qualifying Republican challenger, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers and timing make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$91,245 Vol.
$91,245 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$91,245 Vol.
$91,245 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$53,680 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$37,565 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat centered on Madison with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins. The absence of any Republican filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline has eliminated organized opposition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Pocan’s prior 70 percent-plus victories, fundraising advantage, and committee role further solidify the position. A late qualifying Republican challenger, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers and timing make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$91,245Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat centered on Madison with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins. The absence of any Republican filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline has eliminated organized opposition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Pocan’s prior 70 percent-plus victories, fundraising advantage, and committee role further solidify the position. A late qualifying Republican challenger, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers and timing make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$91,245Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, a seat centered on Madison with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins. The absence of any Republican filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline has eliminated organized opposition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Pocan’s prior 70 percent-plus victories, fundraising advantage, and committee role further solidify the position. A late qualifying Republican challenger, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural barriers and timing make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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