Recent multilateral discussions among Abraham Accords participants, including a September 2026 New York roundtable with U.S., Israeli, Emirati, Bahraini, Moroccan, and Kazakh officials, have focused on deepening existing cooperation and preparing Kazakhstan’s accession rather than securing additional signatories. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 announcement has not yet produced a formal signing, while Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on progress toward Palestinian statehood, a stance unchanged amid ongoing regional conflicts. Speculation around Kuwait or others points to timelines extending beyond October 31. With limited diplomatic momentum and persistent structural obstacles in the short window remaining, traders assess the likelihood of a new country joining by the deadline as low.