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icon for Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?

Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?

icon for Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?

Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?

$59,907 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$59,907 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$46,505 Vol.

23%

June 30, 2027

$2,173 Vol.

24%

December 31, 2027

$11,229 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.**$ANSEM (The Black Bull), a Solana memecoin launched on pump.fun in mid-June 2026, has seen explosive growth after an anonymous deployer airdropped a large supply share to influencer Ansem (@blknoiz06), who then committed to redistributing substantial creator fees back to holders as “stimmy” rather than keeping them.** This narrative—tying the token to Ansem’s reputation for early calls on coins like WIF and BONK, combined with on-chain airdrops of roughly $7 million across hundreds of wallets—drove a roughly 20,000% price surge in one week, pushing market cap into the tens to low hundreds of millions while reviving pump.fun activity to an 80-day high in token launches and graduations. Traders view $ANSEM as a pure community- and influencer-driven play competing for attention and liquidity against $PUMP, the established token of the dominant Solana launchpad itself. Key variables include Ansem’s ongoing distribution plans, holder concentration risks (he controls ~60% of supply), potential dumps from early recipients, and broader memecoin momentum on Solana. Resolution hinges on whichever metric the market specifies for “flipping” by the deadline, with sentiment reflecting rapid shifts in hype, volume, and wallet flows typical of these assets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Volume
$59,907
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.**$ANSEM (The Black Bull), a Solana memecoin launched on pump.fun in mid-June 2026, has seen explosive growth after an anonymous deployer airdropped a large supply share to influencer Ansem (@blknoiz06), who then committed to redistributing substantial creator fees back to holders as “stimmy” rather than keeping them.** This narrative—tying the token to Ansem’s reputation for early calls on coins like WIF and BONK, combined with on-chain airdrops of roughly $7 million across hundreds of wallets—drove a roughly 20,000% price surge in one week, pushing market cap into the tens to low hundreds of millions while reviving pump.fun activity to an 80-day high in token launches and graduations. Traders view $ANSEM as a pure community- and influencer-driven play competing for attention and liquidity against $PUMP, the established token of the dominant Solana launchpad itself. Key variables include Ansem’s ongoing distribution plans, holder concentration risks (he controls ~60% of supply), potential dumps from early recipients, and broader memecoin momentum on Solana. Resolution hinges on whichever metric the market specifies for “flipping” by the deadline, with sentiment reflecting rapid shifts in hype, volume, and wallet flows typical of these assets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Volume
$59,907
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2027" at 24%, followed by "December 31, 2026" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?" has generated $59.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?" is "June 30, 2027" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.