California lawmakers gave final approval on August 31 to SB 1387, which would require state agencies collecting voluntary ethnicity or ancestry data to include a Jewish option alongside religious classifications. The measure passed the Assembly 62-0 and the Senate 38-0 before heading to Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk, where he has until September 30 to sign or veto. Sponsors, including Jewish California and Senator Henry Stern, argue the change would improve data accuracy on hate crimes, public health, and education outcomes for a population often undercounted when tracked solely by religion. With unanimous legislative support and no reported veto signals, traders assign a 92% implied probability that the bill becomes law before year-end, consistent with patterns for broadly backed measures reaching the governor in a Democratic-controlled state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated93% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
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California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California lawmakers gave final approval on August 31 to SB 1387, which would require state agencies collecting voluntary ethnicity or ancestry data to include a Jewish option alongside religious classifications. The measure passed the Assembly 62-0 and the Senate 38-0 before heading to Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk, where he has until September 30 to sign or veto. Sponsors, including Jewish California and Senator Henry Stern, argue the change would improve data accuracy on hate crimes, public health, and education outcomes for a population often undercounted when tracked solely by religion. With unanimous legislative support and no reported veto signals, traders assign a 92% implied probability that the bill becomes law before year-end, consistent with patterns for broadly backed measures reaching the governor in a Democratic-controlled state.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$4,191End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California lawmakers gave final approval on August 31 to SB 1387, which would require state agencies collecting voluntary ethnicity or ancestry data to include a Jewish option alongside religious classifications. The measure passed the Assembly 62-0 and the Senate 38-0 before heading to Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk, where he has until September 30 to sign or veto. Sponsors, including Jewish California and Senator Henry Stern, argue the change would improve data accuracy on hate crimes, public health, and education outcomes for a population often undercounted when tracked solely by religion. With unanimous legislative support and no reported veto signals, traders assign a 92% implied probability that the bill becomes law before year-end, consistent with patterns for broadly backed measures reaching the governor in a Democratic-controlled state.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,191End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California lawmakers gave final approval on August 31 to SB 1387, which would require state agencies collecting voluntary ethnicity or ancestry data to include a Jewish option alongside religious classifications. The measure passed the Assembly 62-0 and the Senate 38-0 before heading to Governor Gavin Newsom’s desk, where he has until September 30 to sign or veto. Sponsors, including Jewish California and Senator Henry Stern, argue the change would improve data accuracy on hate crimes, public health, and education outcomes for a population often undercounted when tracked solely by religion. With unanimous legislative support and no reported veto signals, traders assign a 92% implied probability that the bill becomes law before year-end, consistent with patterns for broadly backed measures reaching the governor in a Democratic-controlled state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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