Russian forces have pursued localized offensive operations and small-unit infiltration attempts around Orikhiv in Zaporizhzhia Oblast throughout October and into November 2026, including claims of advances south and northeast of the town, yet Ukrainian reports and ISW assessments confirm no verified territorial gains or foothold inside the settlement. Ukrainian units have conducted counterattacks south of Orikhiv, intercepted infiltration groups, and maintained defensive positions amid ongoing Russian artillery, drone, and glide-bomb strikes. Russian commanders reportedly set an internal target for capture by late October, but Ukrainian sources describe these efforts as thwarted with significant attacker losses and note continued heavy shelling inconsistent with control claims. The situation remains fluid, with traders monitoring frontline maps and any shifts in Russian momentum or Ukrainian reinforcements that could alter probabilities for near-term resolution dates.