Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster underwent a comprehensive international rebuild in early July 2026, with MAJ3R stepping down, soulfly benched, and additions of IGL kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, plus coach ash replacing the prior Turkish core of MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, and soulfly. The updated lineup debuted at the Esports World Cup and subsequent events, showing integration under the new structure with no further starter departures or arrivals logged on HLTV. Traders assign 61.5% implied probability to no additional changes by December 31, reflecting the recency of the overhaul, absence of reported contract issues or underperformance signals, and typical post-rebuild stability in CS2 during the fall schedule. Roster flux remains possible if results falter or free-agent opportunities arise, but current consensus points to continuity through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated39% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
39% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster underwent a comprehensive international rebuild in early July 2026, with MAJ3R stepping down, soulfly benched, and additions of IGL kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, plus coach ash replacing the prior Turkish core of MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, and soulfly. The updated lineup debuted at the Esports World Cup and subsequent events, showing integration under the new structure with no further starter departures or arrivals logged on HLTV. Traders assign 61.5% implied probability to no additional changes by December 31, reflecting the recency of the overhaul, absence of reported contract issues or underperformance signals, and typical post-rebuild stability in CS2 during the fall schedule. Roster flux remains possible if results falter or free-agent opportunities arise, but current consensus points to continuity through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
Volume
$167End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster underwent a comprehensive international rebuild in early July 2026, with MAJ3R stepping down, soulfly benched, and additions of IGL kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, plus coach ash replacing the prior Turkish core of MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, and soulfly. The updated lineup debuted at the Esports World Cup and subsequent events, showing integration under the new structure with no further starter departures or arrivals logged on HLTV. Traders assign 61.5% implied probability to no additional changes by December 31, reflecting the recency of the overhaul, absence of reported contract issues or underperformance signals, and typical post-rebuild stability in CS2 during the fall schedule. Roster flux remains possible if results falter or free-agent opportunities arise, but current consensus points to continuity through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster underwent a comprehensive international rebuild in early July 2026, with MAJ3R stepping down, soulfly benched, and additions of IGL kyxsan, anchor Jimpphat, plus coach ash replacing the prior Turkish core of MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, and soulfly. The updated lineup debuted at the Esports World Cup and subsequent events, showing integration under the new structure with no further starter departures or arrivals logged on HLTV. Traders assign 61.5% implied probability to no additional changes by December 31, reflecting the recency of the overhaul, absence of reported contract issues or underperformance signals, and typical post-rebuild stability in CS2 during the fall schedule. Roster flux remains possible if results falter or free-agent opportunities arise, but current consensus points to continuity through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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