Recent Russian and Chinese vetoes of a U.S. draft resolution extending the UN expert panel monitoring Iran sanctions have underscored deep P5 divisions at the Security Council. Those votes followed the collapse of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which had envisioned a final nuclear accord endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution by year-end. Renewed military exchanges in September, IAEA reports of denied access to Iranian facilities, and the absence of substantive progress on enrichment limits or sanctions relief have left bilateral talks stalled. Traders therefore assign only a low probability to the combination of a completed deal and affirmative Council action before the December 31 deadline, consistent with the current 86.5 percent implied price on “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% chance
$244,419 Vol.
$244,419 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% chance
$244,419 Vol.
$244,419 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent Russian and Chinese vetoes of a U.S. draft resolution extending the UN expert panel monitoring Iran sanctions have underscored deep P5 divisions at the Security Council. Those votes followed the collapse of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which had envisioned a final nuclear accord endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution by year-end. Renewed military exchanges in September, IAEA reports of denied access to Iranian facilities, and the absence of substantive progress on enrichment limits or sanctions relief have left bilateral talks stalled. Traders therefore assign only a low probability to the combination of a completed deal and affirmative Council action before the December 31 deadline, consistent with the current 86.5 percent implied price on “No.”
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$244,419End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent Russian and Chinese vetoes of a U.S. draft resolution extending the UN expert panel monitoring Iran sanctions have underscored deep P5 divisions at the Security Council. Those votes followed the collapse of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which had envisioned a final nuclear accord endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution by year-end. Renewed military exchanges in September, IAEA reports of denied access to Iranian facilities, and the absence of substantive progress on enrichment limits or sanctions relief have left bilateral talks stalled. Traders therefore assign only a low probability to the combination of a completed deal and affirmative Council action before the December 31 deadline, consistent with the current 86.5 percent implied price on “No.”
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$244,419End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Russian and Chinese vetoes of a U.S. draft resolution extending the UN expert panel monitoring Iran sanctions have underscored deep P5 divisions at the Security Council. Those votes followed the collapse of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which had envisioned a final nuclear accord endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution by year-end. Renewed military exchanges in September, IAEA reports of denied access to Iranian facilities, and the absence of substantive progress on enrichment limits or sanctions relief have left bilateral talks stalled. Traders therefore assign only a low probability to the combination of a completed deal and affirmative Council action before the December 31 deadline, consistent with the current 86.5 percent implied price on “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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