Valve’s recent trade-up expansions, including souvenir eligibility added in the May 2026 patch and Covert-to-knife contracts from October 2025, have shifted the CS2 meta and driven trader focus toward potential sticker trade-ups. No official roadmap or patch notes confirm sticker contracts, yet Valve’s pattern of altering foundational mechanics without warning keeps implied probabilities fluid. Sticker supply remains capped post-Major shops, with prices already reflecting prior repricing events, while community discussion centers on whether a new contract type would flood the market or create fresh demand channels similar to existing skin trade-ups. Resolution hinges on Valve’s next update cycle or Major timing.