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Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 95.5%

Caitlin Clark 2.2%

Olivia Miles 2.1%

Breanna Stewart <1%

Polymarket

$240,518 Vol.

A'ja Wilson 95.5%

Caitlin Clark 2.2%

Olivia Miles 2.1%

Breanna Stewart <1%

Polymarket

$240,518 Vol.

A'ja Wilson

$72,052 Vol.

96%

Caitlin Clark

$19,372 Vol.

2%

Olivia Miles

$8,794 Vol.

2%

Breanna Stewart

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Gabby Williams

$2,279 Vol.

<1%

Napheesa Collier

$1,366 Vol.

<1%

Sabrina Ionescu

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

Kelsey Plum

$1,475 Vol.

<1%

Allisha Gray

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

Alyssa Thomas

$94,848 Vol.

<1%

Satou Sabally

$26,729 Vol.

<1%

Rhyne Howard

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

Paige Bueckers

$5,059 Vol.

<1%

Nneka Ogwumike

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Jackie Young

$1,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson's commanding position in the 2026 WNBA MVP race stems from her league-leading production as the Las Vegas Aces center, where she averages 26.2 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 2.0 blocks, and 1.5 steals while shooting 52.7% from the field across consistent minutes. The four-time MVP and multi-time Defensive Player of the Year has posted multiple 30-point games late in the season, including a recent 30-point outing that helped push her past 1,000 points for the campaign, a WNBA first in multiple seasons. Her two-way impact and usage rate have kept the Aces competitive for playoff positioning amid a tight Western Conference race. Traders see limited paths for challengers like rookie Olivia Miles or Caitlin Clark to close the gap without a significant late-season shift, such as an injury to Wilson or an unexpected surge in team-wide metrics from another contender.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,518
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson's commanding position in the 2026 WNBA MVP race stems from her league-leading production as the Las Vegas Aces center, where she averages 26.2 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 2.0 blocks, and 1.5 steals while shooting 52.7% from the field across consistent minutes. The four-time MVP and multi-time Defensive Player of the Year has posted multiple 30-point games late in the season, including a recent 30-point outing that helped push her past 1,000 points for the campaign, a WNBA first in multiple seasons. Her two-way impact and usage rate have kept the Aces competitive for playoff positioning amid a tight Western Conference race. Traders see limited paths for challengers like rookie Olivia Miles or Caitlin Clark to close the gap without a significant late-season shift, such as an injury to Wilson or an unexpected surge in team-wide metrics from another contender.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,518
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

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Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 96%, followed by "Caitlin Clark" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WNBA: 2026 MVP" has generated $240.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caitlin Clark" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.