Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 93%

Olivia Miles 2.8%

Caitlin Clark 2.6%

Breanna Stewart <1%

Polymarket

$229,782 Vol.

A'ja Wilson 93%

Olivia Miles 2.8%

Caitlin Clark 2.6%

Breanna Stewart <1%

Polymarket

$229,782 Vol.

A'ja Wilson

$62,849 Vol.

93%

Olivia Miles

$8,244 Vol.

3%

Caitlin Clark

$19,211 Vol.

3%

Breanna Stewart

$1,039 Vol.

<1%

Napheesa Collier

$1,366 Vol.

<1%

Sabrina Ionescu

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

Kelsey Plum

$1,475 Vol.

<1%

Allisha Gray

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

Alyssa Thomas

$94,848 Vol.

<1%

Satou Sabally

$26,729 Vol.

<1%

Rhyne Howard

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

Paige Bueckers

$5,059 Vol.

<1%

Gabby Williams

$1,844 Vol.

<1%

Nneka Ogwumike

$1,705 Vol.

<1%

Jackie Young

$1,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson’s commanding 93% implied probability reflects her sustained two-way dominance for the Las Vegas Aces in the closing weeks of the 2026 regular season. The four-time MVP leads the league in scoring at 26.1 points per game while adding 9.4 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and a league-high 2.0 blocks per contest on 52.6% field-goal shooting and improved three-point efficiency. Her advanced metrics, including top rankings in player impact estimate and win shares, underscore her outsized role in a 28-13 Aces squad that remains in playoff contention. Recent record-setting free-throw volume and continued interior protection have further separated her from the field. A late injury, sharp decline in efficiency, or unprecedented late surge from Minnesota’s Olivia Miles could narrow the gap, though current form and historical voter patterns make such shifts unlikely before season’s end.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$229,782
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson’s commanding 93% implied probability reflects her sustained two-way dominance for the Las Vegas Aces in the closing weeks of the 2026 regular season. The four-time MVP leads the league in scoring at 26.1 points per game while adding 9.4 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and a league-high 2.0 blocks per contest on 52.6% field-goal shooting and improved three-point efficiency. Her advanced metrics, including top rankings in player impact estimate and win shares, underscore her outsized role in a 28-13 Aces squad that remains in playoff contention. Recent record-setting free-throw volume and continued interior protection have further separated her from the field. A late injury, sharp decline in efficiency, or unprecedented late surge from Minnesota’s Olivia Miles could narrow the gap, though current form and historical voter patterns make such shifts unlikely before season’s end.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$229,782
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?

Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?

98%
icon for Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?

Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?

58%
icon for Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?

Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?

79%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 93%, followed by "Olivia Miles" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WNBA: 2026 MVP" has generated $229.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivia Miles" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.