The early group stage of the 2026 World Cup has produced an open Golden Boot race, with Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane holding the narrowest edges in trader pricing due to their proven tournament records, strong supporting attacks, and France and England’s projected paths deep into the knockout rounds. Folarin Balogun’s brace for the United States has lifted him into the actual scoring lead and narrowed his implied probability, yet the market still weights long-term volume heavily toward established forwards. Erling Haaland, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Lionel Messi sit close behind because Norway, Spain, and Argentina feature balanced lineups capable of sustained scoring opportunities, while injuries, rotation, or early eliminations for any contender could rapidly redistribute probability among the tightly grouped field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ:ゴールデンブーツウィナー
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 9%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
$6,509,178 Vol.
$6,509,178 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
9%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Lionel Messi
6%
Michael Olise
5%
Julian Alvarez
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
カイ・ハヴェルツ
4%
Igor Thiago
4%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Raphinha
3%
フォラリン・バログン
3%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
ロメル・ルカク
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
エンドリック
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
フロリアン・ヴィルツ
1%
Pedri
1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
メンフィス・デパイ
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
ティム・ペイン
<1%
ドニエル・マレン
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 9%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
$6,509,178 Vol.
$6,509,178 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
9%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Lionel Messi
6%
Michael Olise
5%
Julian Alvarez
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
カイ・ハヴェルツ
4%
Igor Thiago
4%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Raphinha
3%
フォラリン・バログン
3%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
ロメル・ルカク
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
エンドリック
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
フロリアン・ヴィルツ
1%
Pedri
1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
メンフィス・デパイ
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
ティム・ペイン
<1%
ドニエル・マレン
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early group stage of the 2026 World Cup has produced an open Golden Boot race, with Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane holding the narrowest edges in trader pricing due to their proven tournament records, strong supporting attacks, and France and England’s projected paths deep into the knockout rounds. Folarin Balogun’s brace for the United States has lifted him into the actual scoring lead and narrowed his implied probability, yet the market still weights long-term volume heavily toward established forwards. Erling Haaland, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Lionel Messi sit close behind because Norway, Spain, and Argentina feature balanced lineups capable of sustained scoring opportunities, while injuries, rotation, or early eliminations for any contender could rapidly redistribute probability among the tightly grouped field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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