Brazil's status as five-time world champions and the group’s highest-ranked side underpins their 71.5% implied probability, with a deep roster featuring established stars expected to control matches against lower-ranked opponents. Morocco’s 21.5% reflects their 2022 semifinal run, organized defense, and counter-attacking threat, positioning them as the likeliest challenger for the top spot. Scotland’s 8.2% rests on improved squad depth and recent qualifying form, though limited experience at this level caps expectations. Haiti’s 1.1% aligns with their lower FIFA ranking and thinner resources. With group matches beginning June 13, including Brazil versus Morocco, early results and fitness updates will shape any shifts in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 72%
Morocco 22%
Scotland 8.2%
Haiti 1.1%
$609,805 Vol.
$609,805 Vol.
Brazil
72%
Morocco
22%
Scotland
8%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 72%
Morocco 22%
Scotland 8.2%
Haiti 1.1%
$609,805 Vol.
$609,805 Vol.
Brazil
72%
Morocco
22%
Scotland
8%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's status as five-time world champions and the group’s highest-ranked side underpins their 71.5% implied probability, with a deep roster featuring established stars expected to control matches against lower-ranked opponents. Morocco’s 21.5% reflects their 2022 semifinal run, organized defense, and counter-attacking threat, positioning them as the likeliest challenger for the top spot. Scotland’s 8.2% rests on improved squad depth and recent qualifying form, though limited experience at this level caps expectations. Haiti’s 1.1% aligns with their lower FIFA ranking and thinner resources. With group matches beginning June 13, including Brazil versus Morocco, early results and fitness updates will shape any shifts in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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