USA's commanding 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay on June 12 has strengthened their position atop Group D, reinforcing trader consensus around their 62.5% implied probability as co-hosts with superior squad depth and home support. Türkiye, priced at 30.5%, remains the primary challenger due to their technical quality and recent consistency under manager Vincenzo Montella, though they have yet to play. Australia and Paraguay trail at 5.5% and 1.3% respectively after limited early results, with Paraguay hampered by the heavy defeat and Australia facing a tough test against Türkiye. Upcoming fixtures, including Australia vs. Türkiye and the USA's remaining schedule, will likely dictate final group positioning in this competitive section.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于美国 63%
土耳其 31%
澳大利亚 5.5%
巴拉圭 1.3%
$769,956 交易量
$769,956 交易量
2026-06-27
美国
63%
土耳其
31%
澳大利亚
6%
巴拉圭
1%
美国 63%
土耳其 31%
澳大利亚 5.5%
巴拉圭 1.3%
$769,956 交易量
$769,956 交易量
2026-06-27
美国
$237,469 交易量
63%
土耳其
$273,838 交易量
31%
澳大利亚
$77,649 交易量
6%
巴拉圭
$182,341 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USA's commanding 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay on June 12 has strengthened their position atop Group D, reinforcing trader consensus around their 62.5% implied probability as co-hosts with superior squad depth and home support. Türkiye, priced at 30.5%, remains the primary challenger due to their technical quality and recent consistency under manager Vincenzo Montella, though they have yet to play. Australia and Paraguay trail at 5.5% and 1.3% respectively after limited early results, with Paraguay hampered by the heavy defeat and Australia facing a tough test against Türkiye. Upcoming fixtures, including Australia vs. Türkiye and the USA's remaining schedule, will likely dictate final group positioning in this competitive section.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
交易量
$769,956结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USA's commanding 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay on June 12 has strengthened their position atop Group D, reinforcing trader consensus around their 62.5% implied probability as co-hosts with superior squad depth and home support. Türkiye, priced at 30.5%, remains the primary challenger due to their technical quality and recent consistency under manager Vincenzo Montella, though they have yet to play. Australia and Paraguay trail at 5.5% and 1.3% respectively after limited early results, with Paraguay hampered by the heavy defeat and Australia facing a tough test against Türkiye. Upcoming fixtures, including Australia vs. Türkiye and the USA's remaining schedule, will likely dictate final group positioning in this competitive section.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$769,956结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...USA's commanding 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay on June 12 has strengthened their position atop Group D, reinforcing trader consensus around their 62.5% implied probability as co-hosts with superior squad depth and home support. Türkiye, priced at 30.5%, remains the primary challenger due to their technical quality and recent consistency under manager Vincenzo Montella, though they have yet to play. Australia and Paraguay trail at 5.5% and 1.3% respectively after limited early results, with Paraguay hampered by the heavy defeat and Australia facing a tough test against Türkiye. Upcoming fixtures, including Australia vs. Türkiye and the USA's remaining schedule, will likely dictate final group positioning in this competitive section.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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